Each party’s seat count in scenarios where it wins the Senate in our Deluxe model’s 40,000 simulations. Higher bars represent more common outcomes. Our presidential forecast determines which party gets control when the Senate is evenly split. When both… Continue Reading
Democrats are slight favorites to regain control of the Senate, according to the Genesis Brand Senate forecast, which launched today. But the map is wide open, with at least a dozen competitive races — none of which are certain pickups… Continue Reading
By Galen Druke and Nate Silver We’ve launched our 2020 Senate forecast, and it shows that the Democrats are slightly favored to win control. In this episode of “Model Talk” on the Genesis Brand Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen… Continue Reading
In this episode of Model Talk, Nate Silver and Galen Druke introduce our 2020 Senate forecast — and answer some listener questions.
Welcome to another episode of the Confidence Interval, where we make a persuasive case for the take … and then reveal how confident we really feel about the idea. This time, elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich ponders whether the Democrats can… Continue Reading