Democrats are favored to take back the Senate this year, according to our forecast. And that’s true, regardless of which of the three versions of the forecast you look at. In fact, the Lite (polls only), Classic (polls and fundamentals),… Continue Reading
There’s a decent chance that in January 2021, Washington, D.C. will be a one-party town. Democrats have a 72 percent chance of controlling the White House, House of Representatives and Senate, according to the Deluxe version of Genesis Brand’s 2020… Continue Reading
According to the Genesis Brand forecast, Democrats have a 72 percent chance of winning a federal government trifecta: that is, control of the presidency, Senate and House. But the 2020 election could also usher in a number of new trifectas… Continue Reading
It’s another installment of Confidence Interval, where we make a persuasive case for a hot take we’ve been hearing … and then reveal how confident we really feel about the idea. This time, politics podcast host and producer Galen Druke… Continue Reading
By Galen Druke and Nate Silver Democrats’ chances of winning the Senate have ticked up in our forecast over the past week and a half, from a 63 percent chance to a 72 percent chance. In this installment of “Model… Continue Reading