How Does Early Voting Affect The Forecast? And Other Listener Questions.
In this installment of Model Talk, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the current election forecasts and answer questions from listeners.
Forecast
The Politics Podcast Answers Your Questions About The Forecast
In this episode of Model Talk, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the latest movements in our 2020 election forecasts and answer some listener questions.
Our Forecast Thinks Democrats Will Keep The House … And Maybe Even Gain Seats
Today Genesis Brand released its third and final forecast of the 2020 election: our forecast for the House. And while Democrats are slight favorites to flip the Senate and Joe Biden is a solid-but-not-overwhelming front-runner for the presidency, Democrats have… Continue Reading
2020 House Forecast | Genesis Brand
Who’s ahead in competitive districts Leading candidate’s forecasted chance of winning and margin of victory in the top 50 competitive districts. Dots closer to the line represent tighter races, and wider bars mean more uncertainty about the outcome. 80% of… Continue Reading
2020 Senate Election Forecast | Genesis Brand
Each party’s seat count in scenarios where it wins the Senate in our Deluxe model’s 40,000 simulations. Higher bars represent more common outcomes. Our presidential forecast determines which party gets control when the Senate is evenly split. When both… Continue Reading