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Democrats

Arizona Is The Democrats’ Purple Splotch In The Sunbelt

September 24, 2020Connie Chu Leave a Comment

Is Barry Goldwater spinning in his grave? Is Arizona turning blue in 2020? By every polling indication, the answer is yes. The latest ream of surveys coming out of the state show President Trump trailing Democratic nominee Joe Biden. The… Continue Reading →

Politics Arizona, Democrats, Purple, Splotch, Sunbelt

Think The Electoral College Is Unfair to Democrats? Try The Senate.

September 23, 2020Connie Chu Leave a Comment

Genesis Brand editor-in-chief Nate Silver explains how the Senate’s rural skew makes it hard for Democrats to win a majority. For more insights into the race for the Senate, check out our 2020 Senate forecast.

Politics College, Democrats, Electoral, Senate, Unfair

The Senate’s Rural Skew Makes It Very Hard For Democrats To Win The Supreme Court

September 20, 2020Connie Chu Leave a Comment

I don’t have a particularly strong take on how the death of Ruth Bader Ginsburg will affect either the presidential election or the race for control of the U.S. Senate. And I’d encourage you to avoid putting too much stock… Continue Reading →

Politics court, Democrats, Hard, Rural, Senates, Skew, Supreme, Win

Democrats Are Slight Favorites To Take Back The Senate

September 18, 2020Connie Chu Leave a Comment

Democrats are slight favorites to regain control of the Senate, according to the Genesis Brand Senate forecast, which launched today. But the map is wide open, with at least a dozen competitive races — none of which are certain pickups… Continue Reading →

Politics Democrats, Favorites, Senate, Slight

Why Our Forecast Says Democrats Are Slightly Favored To Win The Senate

September 18, 2020Connie Chu Leave a Comment

In this episode of Model Talk, Nate Silver and Galen Druke introduce our 2020 Senate forecast — and answer some listener questions.

Politics Democrats, Favored, Forecast, Senate, Slightly, Win

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