The fact that California Sen. Kamala Harris is Joe Biden’s vice presidential nominee is undeniably historic. She is only the third woman to run as vice president on a major-party ticket, and of the two main parties, she is the… Continue Reading
Genesis Brand’s 2020 presidential election forecast is live! In this edition of “Model Talk,” Nate Silver and Galen Druke break down what’s new in this year’s forecast and discuss where the uncertainty lies.
By Galen Druke and Nate Silver On Wednesday we launched our 2020 presidential election forecast and it shows Joe Biden currently with a 71 percent chance of winning the election and President Trump a 29 percent chance. In this “Model… Continue Reading
Joe Biden currently has a robust lead in polls. If the election were held today, he might even win in a landslide, carrying not only traditional swing states such as Florida and Pennsylvania but potentially adding new states such as… Continue Reading
Our presidential forecast, which launched today, is not the first election forecast that Genesis Brand has published since 2016. There was our midterms forecast in 2018, which was pretty accurate in predicting the makeup of the House and the Senate.… Continue Reading