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Polling

Why Polling On The Issues Probably Isn’t As Broken As Horse-Race Polling

March 12, 2021Connie Chu Leave a Comment

Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. How many Americans support legalizing marijuana? Sixty-eight percent, per Gallup. And according to Morning Consult/Politico, 60 percent think the minimum wage should be increased to $15 an hour by 2025. But how much… Continue Reading →

Politics broken, HorseRace, isnt, Issues, Polling

Why Was The National Polling Environment So Off In 2020?

February 23, 2021Connie Chu Leave a Comment

Heading into the 2020 election, Democrats were favored to not only capture the presidency but also win back the Senate and retain their sizable majority in the House. Much of that came down to the overall national environment, which appeared… Continue Reading →

Politics Environment, National, Polling

How The Georgia Runoffs Changed The ‘Polling Is Broken’ Narrative

January 29, 2021Connie Chu Leave a Comment

In this installment of Model Talk, Nate Silver and Galen Druke look back at the results of the Georgia Senate runoffs and discuss what the Democratic wins say about polling — and what they mean for elections going forward.

Politics broken, changed, Georgia, Narrative, Polling, Runoffs

What The 2020 Election Map Would Look Like If There’s A 2016-Sized Polling Error

November 3, 2020Connie Chu Leave a Comment

Our forecast shows former Vice President Joe Biden with a considerable lead. But what would happen if 2020 saw the same type of polling error as we saw in 2016? Podcast host Galen Druke guides us through the electoral map.

Politics 2016Sized, Election, error, Map, Polling

Polling 101: What Happened To The Polls In 2016 — And What You Should Know About Them In 2020

October 23, 2020Connie Chu Leave a Comment

The results of the 2016 election came as a shock to many Americans. How could Donald Trump win the presidency when he was behind in the polls? As Election Day approaches in 2020, it once again looks like the Democratic… Continue Reading →

Politics Happened, Polling, Polls

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