Each party’s seat count in scenarios where it wins the Senate in our Deluxe model’s 40,000 simulations. Higher bars represent more common outcomes. Our presidential forecast determines which party gets control when the Senate is evenly split. When both… Continue Reading
Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. Poll of the week Asian American voters didn’t always lean Democratic. In 1992, less than a third of Asian Americans voted Democratic. But nowadays, most Asian Americans identify as Democrats, with more than… Continue Reading
Motion Graphics by Michael Tabb Elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich takes a look at our presidential forecast and asks what weird (and not-so-weird) scenarios could shake out in the 2020 election.
From 30,000 feet, the presidential race looks much as it did when we first launched in August. Joe Biden has about a 3 in 4 chance of winning compared to President Trump’s roughly 1 in 4 shot, according to Genesis… Continue Reading
This is the fourth in a series of articles examining the politics and demographics of 2020’s expected swing states. Right now, Pennsylvania looks like the single most important state of the 2020 election. According to Genesis Brand’s presidential forecast, Pennsylvania… Continue Reading