By Galen Druke and Nate Silver Democrats’ chances of winning the Senate have ticked up in our forecast over the past week and a half, from a 63 percent chance to a 72 percent chance. In this installment of “Model… Continue Reading
This is the fifth in a series of articles examining the politics and demographics of 2020’s expected swing states. Wisconsin is proof that politicos have short memories. In 2004, Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry carried Wisconsin by just 0.4 percentage… Continue Reading
Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. Poll(s) of the week Just eight years ago, it would have been weird to put Iowa and Ohio in the same electoral category as Georgia and Texas. In the 2012 election, President Obama… Continue Reading